Darius Baruo
Sep 06, 2025 08:13
HBAR price prediction points to $0.26 resistance test with potential rally to $0.35 by late September, as technical indicators show oversold conditions ripe for reversal.
Hedera (HBAR) is approaching a critical juncture as multiple technical indicators align for a potential breakout attempt. With the token trading at $0.22 and positioned in the lower range of its Bollinger Bands, our comprehensive HBAR price prediction analysis suggests a tactical opportunity is developing for the coming weeks.
HBAR Price Prediction Summary
• HBAR short-term target (1 week): $0.25-$0.26 (+13-18%)
• Hedera medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.30-$0.35 range (+36-59%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.26 (Bollinger Band upper resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.21 (immediate support and Bollinger Band lower bound)
Recent Hedera Price Predictions from Analysts
The analyst consensus shows remarkable alignment on HBAR’s near-term potential. Multiple sources have issued bullish Hedera forecast projections, with CoinCodex leading the charge with a $0.33 target representing a 34.43% gain by September 14, 2025. This aligns closely with Blockchain.News’ medium-term range of $0.35-$0.85, though the upper end appears overly optimistic given current market conditions.
Changelly takes a more conservative approach with their HBAR price prediction of $0.2425, offering an 11.6% ROI that appears more realistic given the technical setup. The convergence of these predictions around the $0.25-$0.35 range provides strong conviction for our analysis, particularly as all major forecasting platforms maintain bullish sentiment despite HBAR’s recent consolidation.
HBAR Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Reversal
The Hedera technical analysis reveals a textbook oversold setup with significant upside potential. HBAR’s current position at 0.21 within the Bollinger Bands indicates the token is trading in the lower 21% of its recent range, historically a zone where reversals occur. The RSI at 41.16 sits in neutral territory with ample room for upward movement before reaching overbought conditions.
However, the MACD histogram at -0.0020 presents a near-term headwind, suggesting bearish momentum hasn’t fully dissipated. The Stochastic indicators (%K at 12.35, %D at 11.17) confirm oversold conditions, typically preceding relief rallies. Volume analysis shows $25.3 million in 24-hour trading, adequate liquidity for institutional participation but lacking the surge needed for immediate breakout confirmation.
The moving average structure tells a compelling story: while HBAR trades below the 20-day SMA ($0.23) and 50-day SMA ($0.25), it maintains a crucial position above the 200-day SMA ($0.20), preserving the long-term bullish structure.
Hedera Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for HBAR
Our primary HBAR price target focuses on the $0.26 resistance level, coinciding with the Bollinger Band upper boundary. A decisive break above this level with volume confirmation could trigger algorithmic buying, propelling HBAR toward $0.30-$0.35 within 2-4 weeks.
The bullish scenario requires HBAR to reclaim the 20-day SMA at $0.23 as support, followed by a sustained move above $0.25 (50-day SMA). If momentum builds, the next significant resistance sits at $0.30, representing a 36% gain from current levels. Ultimate bullish targets align with the 52-week high at $0.37, though this appears ambitious for the September timeframe.
Bearish Risk for Hedera
Downside protection relies on the $0.21 support level holding firm. A breakdown below this critical support could trigger stop-loss selling, potentially driving HBAR toward $0.19-$0.20, where the 200-day moving average provides final support. The bearish scenario would invalidate near-term bullish predictions and suggest extended consolidation or deeper correction.
Risk factors include broader crypto market weakness, regulatory concerns affecting enterprise blockchain adoption, or failure to maintain above the $0.21 Bollinger Band lower boundary.
Should You Buy HBAR Now? Entry Strategy
Current levels present a calculated buy or sell HBAR opportunity for risk-tolerant investors. The optimal entry strategy involves staged accumulation between $0.21-$0.22, with initial position sizing at 50% of intended allocation. Additional purchases should trigger on breaks above $0.23 (20-day SMA reclaim) and $0.25 (50-day SMA breakout).
Risk management demands strict adherence to stop-loss levels. Conservative traders should place stops below $0.20 (200-day SMA), while aggressive strategies can utilize $0.205 as the line in the sand. Position sizing should reflect the 7-10% stop-loss distance, ensuring manageable risk exposure.
Target profit-taking levels include 25% reduction at $0.26, 50% at $0.30, and final 25% at $0.33-$0.35, allowing for potential extended rally while securing profits along the way.
HBAR Price Prediction Conclusion
Our HBAR price prediction maintains medium-high confidence in a test of $0.26 resistance within 7-10 days, with potential advancement to $0.30-$0.35 by month-end. The confluence of oversold technical indicators, analyst consensus, and strong fundamental positioning supports this Hedera forecast.
Key confirmation signals include RSI advancement above 50, MACD histogram turning positive, and most critically, sustained trading above $0.23. Invalidation occurs on breaks below $0.21, which would reset expectations for extended consolidation.
The timeline for this prediction spans 2-4 weeks, with initial resistance tests expected by September 13-15, aligning with CoinCodex’s September 14 target date. Success depends on broader crypto market stability and continued institutional interest in enterprise blockchain solutions where Hedera maintains competitive advantages.
Confidence Level: Medium-High (75%) for $0.26 target, Medium (60%) for $0.30-$0.35 extension
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