Key Takeaways
Why is XRP’s rally uncertain?
XRP traded at $2.86 with DAA Divergence at -345.9%, showing weak activity to support its price.
What metrics matter for $50?
XRP needed stronger Network Growth, whale accumulation, and Social Dominance to build conviction for a credible breakout toward $50.
Ripple’s [XRP] path toward the ambitious $50 milestone remained uncertain, with the token needing stronger fundamentals and broader adoption to support such a rally.
While its history includes sharp surges during favorable conditions, the present landscape revealed gaps that must be closed before another breakout can occur.
However, when market structure, investor conviction, and community momentum aligned, XRP demonstrated the ability to move at scale. The challenge was whether key metrics could improve enough to lay the groundwork for this target.
Network growth must find its spark again
XRP’s Network Growth fell to 1,151 new addresses on the 30th of September, down from the July 2025 peak of around 11,100. This collapse highlighted weak user inflows, as adoption momentum faded sharply since mid-year.
Sustained expansion of network activity was critical. Higher valuations required new participants and greater utility on the ledger.
For a credible $50 case, address creation must approach July highs with steady transaction growth that signals broader adoption.
Source: Santiment
Whales need to step off the sidelines
Large-holder activity in XRP remains uneven.
At press time, Wallets holding between 10M and 100M XRP increased their share to 12.15% of the total supply, while those holding 100M to 1 billion XRP remained stagnant at 14.05%.
Meanwhile, wallets in the 1M–10M XRP range held steady at 10.32%, signaling weak conviction among mid-sized holders. This imbalance has weakened price support, as whale accumulation typically provides liquidity and stability during bullish phases.
To build momentum toward the $50 mark, the largest holders must resume consistent inflows, reinforcing institutional confidence and laying a stronger foundation for long-term growth.
Source: Santiment
Retail energy and community voice must rise
XRP’s Social Dominance was 3.54%, with Social Volume at 150, as of writing. This was far below July, when mentions topped 2,200 and dominance exceeded 11%.
This muted interest showed fading retail enthusiasm, which limited network effects that often drive altcoin rallies.
A sustainable push toward $50 requires more than whale backing — it needs strong, organic community energy.
Reigniting consistent retail engagement and maintaining Social Volume will be crucial, as renewed hype and participation can amplify market inflows and attract wider investor attention.
Source: Santiment
Usage must match the price action
At the time of writing, XRP traded around $2.86, yet DAA Divergence was -345.9%. That negative reading signaled weak address activity to validate the price. By contrast, July’s positive divergence fueled momentum as address growth aligned with price expansion.
To realistically aim for $50, XRP must reverse this trend, with active addresses climbing in tandem with price.
Aligning valuation with network usage ensures gains are supported by fundamentals rather than short-lived speculative surges.
Source: Santiment
Conclusively, XRP can achieve the $50 target provided network adoption accelerates, whales resume steady accumulation, retail enthusiasm returns, and active usage aligns with price.
The aforementioned figures highlighted the gaps, but if these areas improve together, they can create the foundation for a credible breakout and transform this ambitious milestone into a realistic possibility.