Rebeca Moen
Nov 15, 2025 17:21
Toncoin forecast shows potential 46% rally to $2.70 target despite bearish momentum, with critical $1.79 support level determining near-term direction for TON price prediction.
Toncoin is trading at a critical juncture near its 52-week low of $1.82, presenting both opportunity and risk for traders. With the current price at $1.85, our TON price prediction analysis reveals a complex technical setup that could determine the cryptocurrency’s direction through year-end.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• TON short-term target (1 week): $2.00 (+8.1%) – Testing EMA 12 resistance
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.50-$2.70 range (+35-46% upside potential)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $2.09 (SMA 20 and middle Bollinger Band)
• Critical support if bearish: $1.79 (immediate support and lower Bollinger Band)
Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest analyst predictions show remarkable consensus around upside potential for Toncoin. CoinCodex has issued two consecutive TON price predictions targeting $2.51 and $2.70 in the short term, representing 28-46% gains. Meanwhile, Blockchain.News presents the most bullish Toncoin forecast with a $4.42 target by December 2025.
Coinbase takes a more conservative long-term approach with their TON price prediction of $2.33, based on fundamental growth projections. The convergence of these forecasts around the $2.50-$2.70 range provides strong conviction for our medium-term outlook, despite current technical headwinds.
TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Oversold Bounce
The current Toncoin technical analysis reveals a cryptocurrency under significant pressure but approaching oversold conditions. With an RSI of 33.77, TON sits in neutral territory but trending toward oversold levels that historically trigger buying interest.
The MACD histogram at -0.0094 confirms bearish momentum, yet the relatively small negative value suggests selling pressure is waning. More importantly, TON’s position at 0.09 within the Bollinger Bands indicates the price is hugging the lower band at $1.79, a classic setup for mean reversion toward the middle band at $2.09.
Volume analysis shows healthy participation at $11.89 million in 24-hour trading, providing sufficient liquidity for any directional move. The Average True Range of $0.15 suggests moderate volatility, giving room for the predicted price movements without extreme whipsaws.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TON
Our primary TON price prediction targets $2.70 based on multiple technical confluences. The first resistance cluster sits at $2.00 (EMA 12), followed by the critical $2.09 level (SMA 20 and Bollinger middle band). Breaking above $2.09 would trigger momentum toward $2.36 (immediate resistance) and ultimately the $2.70 TON price target.
This bullish Toncoin forecast aligns with the stochastic indicators showing %K at 9.65, indicating oversold conditions ripe for reversal. The 55% discount from the 52-week high of $4.11 provides substantial upside runway once momentum shifts positive.
Bearish Risk for Toncoin
The bearish scenario activates if TON breaks below the critical $1.79 support level. This would target the strong support at $0.55, representing a 70% decline from current levels. However, the proximity to the 52-week low of $1.82 suggests limited downside before buyers emerge.
Key risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness and failure to hold above the lower Bollinger Band, which could accelerate selling pressure toward the $0.55 ultimate support level.
Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our Toncoin technical analysis, the current risk-reward setup favors patient accumulation near support levels. The optimal buy or sell TON decision depends on risk tolerance and timeframe.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a break above $2.00 (EMA 12) with stop-loss at $1.75, targeting $2.50-$2.70 for a favorable 3:1 risk-reward ratio.
Aggressive Entry: Current levels around $1.85 offer attractive entry with tight stop-loss at $1.78 (below immediate support), targeting the same $2.50-$2.70 range.
Position sizing should reflect the 15% potential downside risk to strong support at $0.55, suggesting modest allocation until the technical picture clarifies above $2.09.
TON Price Prediction Conclusion
Our TON price prediction maintains a cautiously optimistic outlook with medium confidence for the $2.70 target by December 2025. The technical setup supports a 46% rally once TON clears the $2.09 resistance level, aligning with analyst consensus around $2.50-$2.70.
Key indicators to monitor include RSI breaking above 40 for momentum confirmation, MACD histogram turning positive, and most critically, price action above the $2.09 middle Bollinger Band. Failure to hold $1.79 support would invalidate this bullish Toncoin forecast and trigger reassessment of downside targets.
The prediction timeline spans 4-6 weeks for initial targets, with the full $2.70 potential realized by year-end 2025, providing a clear framework for position management and profit-taking strategies.
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