 
 
XRP is back at the heart of a heated market debate. While prominent crypto commentators tout the arrival of an XRP “super cycle,” the technical picture tells a more cautious story.
Market analyst Paul Bennett warns that key chart signals are flashing red, suggesting investors should temper optimism and pay close attention to the data.
After a broadly bullish run through 2025, XRP has now signaled a clear technical shift. The weekly SuperTrend indicator has flipped bearish, historically marking a transition from accumulation to distribution, as price slips below the key $2 psychological level to $1.97, according to CoinGecko.
Well, a bearish SuperTrend flip points to rising downside risk, even as bullish narratives continue to dominate social media.
Furthermore, momentum indicators underscore the risk. XRP is trading below a key trendline that once provided strong support, now acting as resistance.
 
Each rebound attempt is met with selling pressure, highlighting failed efforts to reclaim this former demand zone. Therefore, the pattern reflects fading buyer conviction and increasing seller dominance, keeping upside momentum constrained.
Meanwhile, the most troubling signal lies beneath the surface in the form of volatility. ATR-based readings suggest bullish exhaustion, signaling that the explosive upside momentum driving earlier optimism is fading.
Historically, volatility contraction following a strong rally often precedes consolidation or a deeper correction, particularly when bearish trend signals are already emerging.
Bennett sharply critiques the psychology shaping XRP sentiment, arguing that markets are driven by liquidity, not narratives. While retail traders chase the emotionally charged “super cycle” story, smart money positions around liquidity flows.
As Bennett puts it, “IQ doesn’t move markets, liquidity does.” Without technical confirmation, sustained bullish hype risks turning late entrants into exit liquidity for early-positioned whales.
For now, XRP needs a clear weekly SuperTrend breakout and trendline reclamation to validate any ‘super cycle’ thesis.