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One crypto trader believes Ripple’s XRP could be on the verge of a major breakout, but only if it can overcome a crucial resistance level that continues to cap upside momentum.
According to Matt Hughes, XRP is quietly building a powerful breakout structure, fueling speculation that the payments-focused coin could be approaching a major price expansion once the critical resistance barrier finally gives way.
The Resistance Barrier Standing Between XRP and a Massive Rally
In a recent analysis shared on the X social media platform, popular market analyst Hughes observed that XRP continues to struggle beneath the critical $1.51 resistance zone, which he views as the final barrier standing in the way of a meteoric breakout. According to him, a decisive close above that level could act as the trigger that finally unleashes XRP’s next parabolic rally.
Notably, the $1.51 region has repeatedly acted as a ceiling for XRP over the past four months, consistently rejecting bullish advances following the broader market drawdown earlier this year. While Hughes agrees that XRP’s overall structure appears primed for a breakout, he argues that the move cannot truly begin unless the asset decisively reclaims the Fibonacci 0.5 retracement level, which currently aligns with that key resistance zone.
As you may recall, after plunging to a local bottom near $1.10 on Feb. 6, XRP mounted a sharp recovery alongside the broader crypto market. The rebound briefly pushed XRP above the crucial $1.51 resistance zone, allowing the asset to climb as high as $1.65 just a week later. However, the bullish momentum quickly faded, and XRP ultimately slipped back below the key level.
 
A similar pattern emerged again in March amid heightened geopolitical tensions tied to the escalating U.S.–Iran conflict, which briefly buoyed risk assets and triggered sharp volatility across crypto markets. After rallying to around $1.60 on March 17 during that relief-driven push, XRP once again failed to sustain its breakout attempt, leading to another rejection below the $1.51 level and reinforcing it as a persistent resistance barrier.
More recently, XRP made another push to reclaim the $1.51 resistance area, briefly spiking to $1.54 on May 14 before losing momentum and slipping back down. At the time of writing, the token is trading near $1.37, reflecting renewed weakness after the failed breakout attempt.
$15 XRP Target Still in Play
It’s worth mentioning that Hughes’ outlook was prompted by a separate analysis from market commentator Celal Kucuker, who also described XRP as being in a “massive breakout” setup.
In his assessment, Kucuker pointed to a descending trendline on the weekly chart that has consistently limited upside momentum since XRP’s rejection at its $3.65 all-time high in July 2025, which he frames as the key technical barrier still standing in the way of a larger upside move.
XRP has been locked in a pattern of lower highs, forming a persistent descending trendline that continues to cap upside momentum. As price action tightens toward the apex of this structure, Kucuker suggests a breakout could be imminent, with volatility poised to spike.
However, Hughes maintains a more cautious stance, arguing that a decisive close above $1.51 is still required before any confirmed breakout can take shape.
Once the breakout is confirmed, Hughes highlights $2.71 as the next major resistance for XRP, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and marking the final key hurdle before the previous all-time high of $3.65. Meanwhile, Kucuker sees an even more aggressive upside scenario, suggesting XRP could extend toward $15 if the breakout fully unfolds.