You’re going to get priced out of Bitcoin…
December 30, 2023 | Bitcoin 42K
In the world of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin (BTC) continues to dominate headlines and investor interest. As we stand at the cusp of 2024, with Bitcoin’s price hovering around $42,000, speculations are rife about its potential surge to $100,000 per coin. This anticipated price leap presents a complex scenario, intertwining the aspirations of individual investors, the strategies of institutional players, and the fundamental mechanisms underpinning Bitcoin’s supply.
The Prospect of Being Priced Out
For the average individual, the dream of owning a full Bitcoin is becoming increasingly elusive. A price jump to $100,000, while a boon for existing holders, may price out many from owning a complete coin. However, the fractional nature of Bitcoin, divisible down to satoshis, ensures that the currency remains accessible, albeit not in whole units. The psychological allure of owning an entire Bitcoin remains potent, but from an investment standpoint, fractional ownership does not diminish proportional returns.
ETFs: Democratizing Bitcoin Investment
The possibility of approval for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) in the U.S. marks a significant milestone, bringing Bitcoin to mainstream investors. These ETFs allow individuals to invest in Bitcoin through conventional brokerage accounts, mitigating the complexities and risks associated with direct cryptocurrency transactions and digital wallet management. This development is pivotal in democratizing access to Bitcoin investments, ensuring that even as individual coin prices soar, the average investor can still partake in the Bitcoin market.
Institutional Adoption: A Nod of Validation
The burgeoning interest from institutional investors is a significant factor in Bitcoin’s market trajectory. Major financial players and corporations are now viewing Bitcoin as a viable asset class, bringing credibility and stability to the market. This institutional nod, however, is a double-edged sword — it contributes to the upward price pressure, potentially sidelining individual investors from acquiring whole coins.
The Impending Halving: A Catalyst for Scarcity
April’s upcoming Bitcoin halving event is set to further stir the market. Halving, a predefined reduction in the reward for mining Bitcoin, effectively slashes the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. This reduction in supply, if met with steady or increasing demand, is likely to propel prices upwards. For individual investors, this could mean even greater difficulty in owning entire Bitcoins.
Corporate Balance Sheets and Bitcoin
Another game-changer is the Financial Accounting Standards Board’s (FASB) recent decision allowing companies to hold Bitcoin on their balance sheets. This move paves the way for more institutional and corporate players to enter the Bitcoin market. According to Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy and a staunch Bitcoin advocate, it might take about 12 quarters (3 Years) for institutions and companies to fully integrate Bitcoin into their balance sheets. This gradual yet steady adoption is poised to create sustained demand, further impacting Bitcoin’s price and accessibility.
The confluence of ETF approvals, institutional adoption, the Bitcoin halving, and evolving financial reporting standards paints a complex picture for Bitcoin’s future. While the path to $100,000 per Bitcoin symbolizes a milestone in cryptocurrency acceptance and valuation, it also raises questions about accessibility for the average investor. The ability to purchase fractions of Bitcoin remains, ensuring continued participation in the market. However, as the landscape evolves, it highlights the dynamic nature of Bitcoin as an investment, appealing to a broad spectrum of investors, from retail enthusiasts to institutional heavyweights.
In the whirlwind world of cryptocurrencies, caution remains paramount. Predictions, while insightful, should be approached with an understanding of the market’s inherent volatility. As Bitcoin continues its journey, its role as a digital asset and a harbinger of a new financial era becomes increasingly significant.
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You’re going to get priced out of Bitcoin was originally published in The Dark Side on Medium, where people are continuing the conversation by highlighting and responding to this story.