Arthur Hayes argues that France’s ongoing debt crisis will push the European Central Bank to print trillions of euros.
The debate around France’s debt crisis and Bitcoin has heated up, especially after recent comments by Arthur Hayes.
The BitMEX co-founder argues that France’s rising fiscal deficit will force the European Central Bank (ECB) to inject massive liquidity into the economy.
Hayes claims this response will debase the euro and encourage investors to move capital into Bitcoin.
France’s Growing Deficit Raises Alarms
The Banque de France reported a net loss of €7.7 billion ($8 billion) for the previous fiscal year, largely due to high interest payments. This brought the government deficit to over €168 billion ($176 billion), or equal to 5.8% of the nation’s GDP.
The figure is more than the European Union’s 3% threshold and sets up France as one of the bloc’s weakest performers. The deficit also points towards accelerating capital outflows.
Arthur Hayes’ View on ECB Policy and Bitcoin
Hayes spoke at TOKEN2049 in Singapore and in his blog post titled “Bastille Day”. He argued that France’s predicament leaves the ECB with few choices.
“Bastille Day” is an essay describing France’s exit from the euro and the coming multi-trillion euro ECB bailout.https://t.co/5pX5BvIMNJ pic.twitter.com/xyxaWodh1N
— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) October 2, 2025
“The ECB will valiantly print money to forestall the loss of its raison d’être. Either they print now to fund French spending or later, when capital controls appear. In both cases, trillions in euros enter circulation,” he said.
Hayes believes that this liquidity flood will push more capital toward Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat devaluation. He also warned that the euro will weaken under such a scenario.
Bitcoin As A Safe Haven Asset
Bitcoin has already responded to these discussions. The cryptocurrency climbed past $120,500 last week and rose about 8% over seven days.
Many traders attributed part of this rally to Hayes’s remarks and the market anxiety over France’s finances.
Hayes contrasted Bitcoin’s scarcity with what he called the “inevitable debasement” of traditional currencies.
He described the euro as a “piece of trash” compared to the limited supply of Bitcoin.
The crypto market overall has benefited from this fresh focus on monetary policy. Ethereum, the second-largest digital asset, rose close to $4,500 and marked a weekly gain of nearly 10%.
Hayes has also forecast that Ethereum could reach $10,000 by the end of the year, if central banks continue aggressive money-printing measures.
Social Unrest and Capital Outflows
France’s fiscal strain is not confined to financial charts. Younger generations, sometimes called the MZ cohort, have held protests in Paris and other cities.
They demand solutions for stagnant wages, rising debt and the sense that their economic future is at risk.
Many demonstrators also blame both government policies and ECB decisions for worsening the inequality. Hayes pointed to this unrest as further evidence of a weakening social contract that could speed up capital flight from the eurozone.
Bitcoin’s Continuing Appeal
Bitcoin’s resilience amid all of this is another supporting factor in its reputation as a hedge against aggressive monetary policies.
While France’s debt crisis is mostly an European issue, international investors monitor it as part of the wider debate on fiat stability.
Hayes’ predictions, whether fully accurate or not, are another advert for the protection that Bitcoin’s scarcity offers.
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