Avalanche [AVAX]: Identifying the roadmap, roadblocks to alt’s $100 target


Avalanche [AVAX] has been steadily recovering since the end of January. For instance, it managed to appreciate by $37 over the last two months. This is why investors are keeping their hopes up, but the obstacle that the king coin presents can only be undone by investors.

Avalanche to zoom soon

Down by 5.85% from yesterday’s highs, AVAX, at press time, was trading at $97.5. Given that it has risen from $69 to where it is today in less than 20 days, it is worth projecting a breach of $100 within the next day or two.

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Avalanche price action | Source: TradingView – AMBCrypto

Now, while it may sound easy, it is important to note that the hyper bullishness observed over the last couple of days is now cooling off. This places Avalanche in a difficult spot thanks to its correlation with the king coin.

Sharing a correlation of 0.9 enabled AVAX to break out of its 3-month long downtrend wedge and also test the critical resistance of $89 as support.

However, going forward, AVAX might not be able to enjoy these hikes since Bitcoin has been seeing some consolidation for a few days.

While BTC did reverse the losses faced by it since the beginning of 2022, it recently tested the 200-day SMA as resistance, and that is the concern.

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Historically, every time BTC has tested it for resistance instead of support, the price action has moved sideways or south in the following few days/weeks. This is also why BTC is currently struggling to make it to $50k.

Bitcoin price action | Source: TradingView – AMBCrypto

Should the same happen with AVAX, it might become slightly difficult for the $100-level to be breached.

On the contrary, countering the effects of the broader market is AVAX’s performance on the investor front.

The fourth-biggest DeFi chain in the world lost over $1.5 billion towards the end of March. However, it has since regained about 50% of the lost TVL thanks to growing positive sentiment among investors.

Avalanche TVL | Source: DeFi Llama – AMBCrypto

Furthermore, this bullishness is also verified by the inclining AVAX Futures Open Interest (OI). Recovering from the $250 million loss in OI, the money that flowed into the market raised the total OI by 136.9%.

This is proof that investors have been confident and active when it comes to investing in Avalanche.

Avalanche Futures Open Interest | Source: CoinGlass

Ergo, their conviction in the altcoin could do wonders and help AVAX hit $100 soon.


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