Bitcoin is holding steady at around $86,700 with strong sellside activity; altcoins fall even as the market volume reaches its highest point at 81B, an indication of a risk-averse crypto environment.
Bitcoin fell below the 400-day moving average to a swing low of about $86,275, accelerating the stress on recent customers who paid higher prices.
Source – X
The primary crypto performed poorly, as it dropped by 2.78 percent in 24 hours to trade around $86,632.
One such sell wave was as a result of whales shifting holdings. Trader alerts on X confirmed that long-term BTC holders moved more than $228 million to Kraken and that MARA Holdings moved a total of $58 million in Bitcoin to FalconX and Coinbase Prime, which might represent future volatility.
With such changes, the volume of Bitcoin trade increased by 5 percent to $81 billion, thereby absorbing a larger supply without collapsing, a resilience when compared to the larger market dynamics.
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Altcoins Suffer Sharp Losses, Amid Shifting Market Dynamics
The altcoins declined significantly, with Ethereum declining 3.4 percent, pulling the CoinDesk 20 index down 0.66 percent, and the altseason index to only 26/100.
Other tokens, such as Cosmos (ATOM) defied the trend with returns of more than 10 percent, whereas Zcash (ZEC) continued an upward trend with almost 9 percent growth.
Nevertheless, the vast majority of the altcoins dropped drastically, and memecoins are entrenched in the doldrums with the CDMEME index declining by 40 percent since September.
Leveraged crypto futures worth more than half a billion have been liquidated over the last 24 hours, mostly in long positions, indicating a systematic deleveraging of bull trades.
The capital inflows and outflows were perceived differently among tokens and pointed to open interests, which pointed to a market in flux.
Bear Pressure Looms but Bitcoin Shows Signs of Strength
Technical analysis shows that the current period of non-consolidation of Bitcoin below the support level around 88,000 is accompanied by massive sales and a death cross on the moving averages, which tend to predict additional decline.
Nevertheless, Bitcoin is not as volatile as many altcoins, which means that customers are looking to see a more convincing bullish signal.
The declining open interest in CME futures to levels not witnessed since late September suggests less positioning and less volatility risk in the short term.
In the meantime, the action of trustees in Deribit reveals a conservative placement with options being a major element in cushioning additional decreases.
Such mixed technical and volume data puts Bitcoin on a knife-edge of further downturn or even recovery.