Crypto Market Turnaround Coming? Analytics Firm Says Spike in This Metric Triggers Trend Reversal


A leading crypto analytics firm says that a correlation exists between cryptocurrency prices and inflation levels.

Following the announcement that the inflation rate, or Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose by 8.5% in March, Santiment says that the crypto market enjoyed a boost as a result.

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“When inflation and CPI data releases are major subjects of interest for the crypto community, price turnarounds generally occur. We’ve seen a decent crypto bounce today with consumer price data revealing a higher than expected 8.5% rise in March.”

The analytics firm says that the price of Bitcoin tends to reverse when the frequency of the appearance of keywords “inflation and “CPI” on social media platforms increases.

“If we look at ‘Inflation’ and ‘CPI’ mentions, we can see that the market just turns around when these topics spike.”

Source: Santiment
Source: Santiment

As an example, Santiment says that a crypto bottom occurred in mid-March after the Federal Open Market Committee noted that inflation remained “elevated.” According to the analytics firm, it remains to be seen whether the uptick resulting from the CPI rising 8.5% in March will mark another bottom for Bitcoin.

Source: Santiment

The analytics firm also says that the surge in the frequency of appearance of the keywords “inflation” and “CPI” on social media platforms does not guarantee a price reversal.

“Super high social volumes are often a foreshadow of a price reversal.

Note that these spikes don’t necessarily always imply that there is a definitive top or bottom forming.

But it does mean that each time the crypto crowd rationalizes an event, it’s as if they are proclaiming as a group ‘Ok, now we know why it’s happening.’ And then the opposite price reaction generally occurs after this crowd consensus.”

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Featured Image: Shutterstock/vectortatu/Natalia Siiatovskaia




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