China and US restart trade talks amid Trump tariffs and export disputes, boosting markets on hopes of easing tensions.
Stock markets returned to speed this week, after China confirmed fresh working-level trade talks with the United States. The announcement lifted investor sentiment and pushed S&P 500 futures up by more than 160 points from their Friday low.
Traders see the talks as a sign that both countries may be working toward mutual agreements. It’s not yet a breakthrough, but the discussions are ongoing across financial markets.
China Confirms Working-Level Talks on Trump Tariffs
China’s Ministry of Commerce officially acknowledged that the two sides are holding talks on tariffs and export restrictions. Officials described them as “working-level,” which means that negotiations are in the early stages but active.
BREAKING: Stock market futures extend gains as China confirms “working level talks” with the US.
S&P 500 futures are now up +160 points since their Friday low. pic.twitter.com/W0xEPwoBlJ
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 14, 2025
The Chinese government noted that these talks are aimed at finding a fair and balanced solution to the market’s trade frictions. The ministry also repeated its stance that if China is forced to fight, it will “fight to the end.” However, if dialogue remains open, it will continue discussions in good faith.
Despite the firm tone, many analysts interpret this as progress. In earlier trade cycles, such statements have often come before compromise.
100% Trump Tariffs Threat and China’s Response
Tensions rose last week when US President Donald Trump announced an additional 100 percent tariff on Chinese imports.
The move followed China’s decision to expand export controls on rare earth minerals. For context, rare earth minerals are elements that are important to industries like electric vehicles, semiconductors and defense technology.
Trump is complaining about China’s export controls on rare earth minerals, but what he conveniently leaves out is that the US has been sanctioning, pressuring, and threatening China for nearly a decade.
It’s pure hypocrisy to cry foul over trade restrictions while waging an… pic.twitter.com/fTkol6QRFm— Richard (@ricwe123) October 11, 2025
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox Business that both sides have since “substantially de-escalated” by talking things out.
He confirmed that President Trump still plans to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping later this month at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum in South Korea.
“The relationship, despite this announcement last week, is good,” said Bessent. “Lines of communication have reopened, so we’ll see where it goes.”
China Defends Its Export Controls
In a separate statement, China’s Ministry of Commerce said its new export control measures are lawful and were created to improve the national regulatory system. It denied that these controls stand as a ban on exports, and further mentioned that compliant applications will continue to be approved.
The ministry also accused the US of abusing the concept of national security and unfairly targeting Chinese firms.
It urged Washington to “correct its wrongdoings” and show sincerity if it truly wants trade talks to succeed.
Observers say China’s approach shows a mix of firmness and flexibility. While Beijing continues to defend its policies, it’s leaving the door open for conversation.
Analysts See Room for Cautious Optimism
Investor sentiment is fragile but hopeful. Analysts believe that while threats of higher tariffs are creating short-term volatility, they are also pressuring both sides to negotiate faster.
Some market strategists argue that Trump’s new tariff threat might be more of a negotiation tactic than a policy goal.
Others say that China’s strong but measured response shows that it wants to maintain communication channels and avoid long-term escalation.
Historical data supports this optimism. In past US-China trade cycles, futures typically recovered within weeks once both sides returned to dialogue.
The key, according to experts, is how quickly the two governments can move from technical talks to policy commitments.
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