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Dogecoin has now entered the longest period below its all-time high in its history—over 1,550 days and counting—with crypto analyst VisionPulsed warning that while a breakout may eventually come, the asset remains locked in what he calls a “bearish forever” pattern.
In his August 6 video update, VisionPulsed provided a sobering macro-to-micro analysis of Dogecoin’s price action, underscoring the asset’s historic underperformance compared to other large-cap cryptocurrencies. “We’re now setting a Guinness World Record for most days below the all-time high for Dogecoin,” he remarked. “First cycle was 1,200 days, second cycle was 1,126. Right now, we are at a staggering 1,550-plus days.”
That milestone, he argued, is not just symbolic—it reflects deep structural weakness in DOGE’s market cycle. And despite growing chatter in the macro space about a potential liquidity-driven reversal, he’s not yet convinced that Dogecoin is ready to respond.
A central theme of the analysis is the Global M2 money supply, which VisionPulsed has tracked for months as a leading macro indicator for crypto risk appetite. While he acknowledges that the M2 bottomed in June, he emphasizes that this alone hasn’t historically triggered immediate upside for Dogecoin.
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“The Global M2 has put in a bottom… but Dogecoin did not move higher until the M2 shot up. And we don’t have that yet,” he explained. “Could we still be bearish? Technically yes… because it’s always bearish forever and ever.”
Ethereum, by contrast, is described by the analyst as “much more sensitive to the M2,” and has begun showing signs of recovery. This divergence, in his view, reinforces the idea that DOGE may continue to consolidate or retrace further before making a meaningful move.
Dogecoin Chop Before Pop?
VisionPulsed suggests that Dogecoin is likely forming a choppy consolidation structure, similar to prior phases that eventually resolved to the upside. He doesn’t dismiss the possibility of a rally in the near future—particularly if price holds current levels through mid-August—but cautions that the bullish case remains highly conditional.
“If Dogecoin can do this exact move [sideways accumulation], then it should turn bullish,” he said, referencing a historical fractal that played out prior to earlier rallies. He draws a parallel between sentiment metrics (such as YouTube view counts) and market behavior, noting that in previous local bottoms, low engagement marked exhaustion in retail capitulation.
This time, however, he concedes that the floor may already be forming higher—potentially due to increased market maturity or broader interest in crypto assets.
Long-Term Targets: $0.90 To $1.50
While the current tone remains cautious, VisionPulsed outlines a clear set of long-term price targets if and when a macro reversal does take hold. He splits these into two categories: conservative and speculative. “A more conservative estimate… is this lower end here, 90 cents to 1.14,” he said, noting that $0.91+ could begin to mark a top under the right conditions.
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For the more optimistic crowd, the so-called “moonboys,” he still sees room—albeit less likely—for a run toward $1.50 or even $2. “Even I used to say $2,” he added. “I think the highest I could go for a moonboy expectation is right here in this vicinity between $2 to $1.50.”
Importantly, he stops short of making any time-bound prediction, reiterating that macro trends, M2 velocity, and broader altcoin sentiment must first align for any of these targets to come into play.
As the crypto market heads into the later months of the year, VisionPulsed points out that historical cycles have often accelerated around this phase, with several final rallies initiating in the August–September window. “The further and closer we get to the end of the year, it has to start moving faster… At least in recent history, when we’ve gotten to where we are, you’ve gone up for your final rally,” he noted.
At press time, DOGE traded at $0.206.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com