ETHFI Price Falls 6.4% Despite Foundation Buyback Program Launch


ETHFI Price Falls 6.4% Despite Foundation Buyback Program Launch


Darius Baruo
Aug 12, 2025 11:09

ETHFI trades at $1.16 after dropping 6.4% in 24 hours, testing key support levels despite Ether.Fi Foundation’s recently announced buyback initiative.

Quick Take

• ETHFI currently trading at $1.16 (-6.39% in 24h)
• Ether.Fi’s RSI at 52.01 suggests neutral momentum with potential reversal signals
• Foundation buyback program from August 6th provides fundamental support despite recent selling pressure

What’s Driving Ether.Fi Price Today?

The ETHFI price is experiencing downward pressure today, declining 6.39% to $1.16 despite positive fundamental developments announced last week. This selloff appears to be a continuation of broader market weakness rather than protocol-specific concerns.

The most significant recent catalyst was the Ether.Fi Foundation’s announcement on August 6th of a strategic buyback program. The Foundation committed to allocating 5% of July’s $2.58 million revenue—approximately $129,000—to purchase ETHFI tokens from the open market. These purchased tokens will be deployed as on-chain liquidity through Arrakis Finance’s liquidity pledge vault, creating a dual benefit of reducing circulating supply while improving market depth.

However, whale activity has introduced volatility into ETHFI price action. On August 4th, a large holder liquidated 3,459 ETH worth approximately $12.58 million, creating selling pressure that the market is still absorbing. Despite this, ETHFI demonstrated resilience by recovering 2.47% that day, bouncing from critical support levels around $1.00.

The current price decline suggests that while the buyback program provides medium-term support, short-term trading dynamics and broader market sentiment are driving immediate price action for Ether.Fi.

ETHFI Technical Analysis: Mixed Signals Point to Consolidation

Ether.Fi technical analysis reveals a market in transition, with indicators suggesting potential stabilization after recent volatility. The ETHFI RSI reading of 52.01 places the token in neutral territory, neither overbought nor oversold, indicating balanced buying and selling pressure.

The moving average structure tells a constructive story for Ether.Fi. ETHFI price currently sits at $1.16, slightly above the 7-day SMA ($1.16) and well above longer-term averages including the 20-day SMA ($1.12), 50-day SMA ($1.10), and 200-day SMA ($0.97). This positioning above key moving averages supports the “Strong Bullish” overall trend classification.

Ether.Fi’s MACD indicator shows encouraging momentum development. The MACD line at 0.0086 sits above the signal line at -0.0046, with a positive histogram reading of 0.0132 indicating bullish momentum building for ETHFI. This suggests the recent decline may be losing steam.

The Bollinger Bands analysis shows ETHFI trading within normal volatility ranges. With the upper band at $1.32 and lower band at $0.92, the current price of $1.16 sits comfortably within the bands, with the %B position of 0.5974 indicating balanced positioning without extreme readings.

Ether.Fi’s daily ATR of $0.11 reflects moderate volatility, suggesting that while price swings are present, they remain within manageable ranges for most trading strategies.

Ether.Fi Price Levels: Key Support and Resistance

Based on Binance spot market data, several critical Ether.Fi support levels emerge that traders should monitor closely. The immediate ETHFI resistance sits at $1.33, representing a 14.7% upside target from current levels. A break above this level could quickly lead to testing the stronger resistance at $1.41, which would represent a 21.6% gain.

On the downside, Ether.Fi support levels provide crucial risk management reference points. The immediate support at $0.90 represents a 22.4% decline from current levels and aligns closely with the lower Bollinger Band. More concerning would be a break below the strong support at $0.88, which could signal a deeper correction for ETHFI.

The pivot point at $1.20 serves as a key battleground level. ETHFI price action around this level in the coming sessions will likely determine short-term direction. A reclaim above $1.20 would suggest buying interest is emerging, while failure to hold could lead to tests of lower support zones.

The 24-hour trading range of $1.15-$1.29 shows that ETHFI has found buyers near current levels, with the $1.15 low representing a potential double-bottom pattern if successfully defended.

Should You Buy ETHFI Now? Risk-Reward Analysis

For aggressive traders, the current ETHFI price setup offers an asymmetric risk-reward opportunity. With immediate resistance at $1.33 representing 14.7% upside and immediate support at $0.90 suggesting 22.4% downside, the ratio favors waiting for a clearer directional break.

Conservative investors should consider the fundamental backdrop more heavily. The Ether.Fi Foundation’s buyback program represents genuine demand that should provide price support over time. However, given the recent whale selling activity, patience may be rewarded with better entry levels.

Swing traders might consider a staged approach: initial positions above $1.20 with stop losses below $1.15, and additional accumulation on any dips toward the $0.90-$1.00 support zone. This strategy allows participation in potential upside while managing downside risk through defined exit levels.

Day traders should focus on the ETHFI/USDT pair’s reaction to the $1.20 pivot point and monitor volume patterns. The 24-hour volume of $40.7 million on Binance spot suggests adequate liquidity for most trading strategies.

Risk management remains paramount given ETHFI’s position below its 52-week high of $2.96 but well above its 52-week low of $0.42, indicating significant room for movement in either direction.

Conclusion

ETHFI price faces a critical juncture as short-term selling pressure tests the resolve of the Foundation’s buyback program support. While Ether.Fi technical analysis shows mixed signals, the overall bullish trend remains intact above key moving averages. Traders should watch for price action around the $1.20 pivot point over the next 24-48 hours, with a break above signaling potential recovery toward $1.33 resistance, while failure could lead to tests of $0.90 support. The combination of fundamental support from buybacks and technical oversold conditions suggests ETHFI may be setting up for a bounce, but confirmation through price action is needed before committing significant capital.

Image source: Shutterstock




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