Lawrence Jengar
Oct 17, 2025 22:36
Internet Computer (ICP) falls to yearly lows at $3.00 amid 4.7% daily decline as Bitcoin’s drop below $112,000 pressures altcoins despite recent AI integration milestone.
Quick Take
• ICP trading at $3.00 (down 4.7% in 24h)
• Bitcoin’s decline below $112,000 triggering broad crypto selloff
• ICP testing 52-week lows despite positive AI development news
• Correlation with Bitcoin remains strong during risk-off sentiment
Market Events Driving Internet Computer Price Movement
The primary catalyst behind today’s ICP price decline is Bitcoin’s sharp retreat below the psychologically important $112,000 level, which has sent shockwaves through the entire cryptocurrency market. This macro headwind has overshadowed what would otherwise be considered positive fundamental developments for Internet Computer.
Bitcoin’s volatility has created a risk-off environment where investors are rotating out of altcoins like ICP, regardless of individual project merits. The correlation between ICP and Bitcoin remains particularly strong during market stress, with ICP amplifying Bitcoin’s moves on both sides.
On the positive side, Internet Computer’s recent integration of AI models directly on-chain represents a significant technological advancement. The development allows applications to be created and updated entirely on-chain, potentially reducing infrastructure dependencies and opening new use cases. However, this bullish catalyst has been completely overwhelmed by the broader market sentiment, with the positive news providing only a brief 0.5% uptick before being swamped by selling pressure.
The timing of these conflicting forces illustrates how macro factors continue to dominate individual project fundamentals in the current market environment.
ICP Technical Analysis: Breakdown to Yearly Lows
Price Action Context
ICP price action has deteriorated significantly, with the token now trading at its 52-week low of $3.00. The current price sits well below all major moving averages, with the 7-day SMA at $3.34 providing the nearest resistance level. The distance from the 200-day SMA at $5.02 indicates the severity of the current downtrend.
Volume on Binance spot market has surged to $21.03 million, suggesting institutional and retail capitulation rather than accumulation. This elevated volume during the breakdown confirms the weakness and indicates further downside pressure may continue.
Key Technical Indicators
The RSI at 30.78 suggests ICP is approaching oversold conditions but hasn’t reached extreme levels that typically mark short-term bottoms. The MACD remains deeply negative at -0.3754, with the histogram showing continued bearish momentum.
Most concerning for bulls, ICP’s position within the Bollinger Bands shows a %B reading of 0.0819, meaning the price is hugging the lower band and showing no signs of reversal. The daily ATR of $0.41 indicates heightened volatility that could lead to further sharp moves in either direction.
Critical Price Levels for Internet Computer Traders
Immediate Levels (24-48 hours)
• Resistance: $3.34 (7-day moving average and recent support turned resistance)
• Support: $2.80 (Bollinger Band lower boundary and psychological level)
Breakout/Breakdown Scenarios
A breakdown below $2.80 could trigger additional selling toward the $1.16 support zone, representing a nearly 60% decline from current levels. Conversely, any recovery above $3.34 would need to contend with heavy resistance at $3.99 (20-day SMA) before bulls could regain control.
ICP Correlation Analysis
Internet Computer technical analysis shows the token remains highly correlated with Bitcoin during this selloff, with ICP’s 4.7% decline closely tracking Bitcoin’s percentage moves. This correlation has intensified during periods of market stress, making ICP particularly vulnerable to Bitcoin’s technical levels.
Traditional market factors appear secondary to crypto-specific dynamics, though any broader risk-off sentiment in equities could compound the selling pressure. The lack of safe-haven flows into gold or defensive assets suggests this is primarily a crypto sector rotation rather than broader market stress.
Trading Outlook: Internet Computer Near-Term Prospects
Bullish Case
Recovery would require Bitcoin to stabilize above $112,000 and show signs of resuming its uptrend. The AI integration news provides a fundamental backdrop for recovery once market sentiment improves. A reclaim of $3.34 followed by a move above $3.99 could signal the worst of the selling is over.
Bearish Case
Continued Bitcoin weakness could push ICP price toward the $1.16 support zone, particularly if the broader crypto market fails to find footing. The technical damage from hitting 52-week lows may take considerable time to repair even with positive news flow.
Risk Management
Traders should consider tight stop-losses below $2.80 given the current momentum. Position sizing should account for the elevated ATR of $0.41, suggesting daily moves of 10-15% remain possible. Any long positions should wait for clear reversal signals rather than trying to catch falling knives in this environment.
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