 
 
Bitcoin (BTC) has historically moved in four-year cycles tied to its halvings, with prices typically peaking 12-18 months after each supply reduction, then correcting sharply into a multi-year bear market. The next halving is not expected until April 2028, with a new all-time high toward the end of the following year.
However, Binance co-founder and former CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao has predicted that Bitcoin could enter a “supercyle” in 2026, potentially breaking the top crypto’s historical four-year pattern of post-halving booms and busts.
Bitcoin To Enter Mythical Supercycle In 2026: CZ
Binance’s Changpeng Zhao said in a CNBC interview that he expects Bitcoin to break its four-year cycle this year, driven by the United States government’s growing pro-crypto posture and the possibility of other countries following suit.
“Well, normally Bitcoin follows four-year cycles […], but I think this year, given the U.S. being so pro-crypto and every other country is kind of following, I do think we will see this. We will probably break the four-year cycle,” Zhao told Squawk Box’s Andrew Ross Sorkin at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, accepting this year the apex crypto would smash new record highs.
Despite the latest halving being in April 2024, Bitcoin is now trading down 29% from its all-time high of $126,080, set in October 2025.
 
Sorkin asked CZ if he agreed with Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, who recently predicted Bitcoin would rocket to between $300,000 and $1.2 million by 2030, while others think BTC will hit new peak heights this year. “I have very strong feelings it will probably be a supercycle in 2026 for Bitcoin,” the crypto kingpin responded.
Zhao, who revealed he holds BTC and the Binance-linked BNB token, did not provide a specific price target for the king crypto.
“If you are looking at today, tomorrow, on a daily basis, there’s no way I can predict,” CZ quipped. “If you look at the five, ten year horizon, it’s very easy to predict. We’re going to go up.”
Trump Ties
During the interview in Davos with Squawk Box, Zhao also spoke about his time in prison.
CZ pleaded guilty in 2023 to failing to implement sufficient anti-money laundering controls at Binance and resigned as CEO of the global exchange as part of a sweeping settlement with U.S. authorities.
He spent four months behind bars before being released in September 2024.
The ex-Binance CEO also pushed back against reports suggesting ties to President Donald Trump and his crypto dealings, which some industry detractors claim may have influenced the president’s decision to pardon Zhao in October.
“Based on my knowledge, there is really no connection,” posited Zhao. “The only thing is, the Trump family is in crypto. Binance is a large crypto firm, and President Trump’s administration is pro-crypto. That helps all the businesses in crypto.”
He added that he has never spoken to or met President Trump and only saw him from the audience at Davos earlier this week.