Rongchai Wang
Aug 31, 2025 02:31
TON price prediction shows potential decline to $2.60 support level before medium-term recovery targets $6.00-$8.00 range by Q3 2025 based on technical analysis.
The latest TON price prediction analysis reveals a critical juncture for Toncoin, with technical indicators suggesting a near-term correction before potential substantial gains. Trading at $3.14 on August 31, 2025, TON faces conflicting signals that demand careful analysis for accurate forecasting.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• TON short-term target (1 week): $2.60 (-16.9%)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $6.00-$8.00 range (+91-155%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $3.64
• Critical support if bearish: $2.41
Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The analyst community shows stark division in their Toncoin forecast approaches. Short-term predictions from CoinCodex and WalletInvestor align closely, targeting the $2.41-$2.61 range within days, representing potential 23-26% declines. These bearish TON price predictions are supported by current technical momentum indicators showing weakness.
Conversely, medium-term forecasts paint a dramatically different picture. AInvest’s AI-driven analysis suggests a TON price target of $6.00-$8.00, while PricePredictions.com’s algorithmic model points to $10.24. The most conservative bullish Toncoin forecast comes from Blockchain.News, targeting $3.40 resistance before potential continuation higher.
This divergence reflects the cryptocurrency market’s characteristic volatility and the importance of distinguishing between short-term technical corrections and longer-term fundamental value propositions.
TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Correction Then Recovery
Current technical indicators present a mixed but predominantly cautious picture for TON. The RSI reading of 43.47 sits in neutral territory, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting room for movement in either direction. However, the MACD histogram at -0.0282 indicates bearish momentum is building, supporting the near-term decline scenario in our TON price prediction.
The Bollinger Bands analysis reveals TON trading at position 0.23, significantly below the middle band at $3.30. This positioning below the 20-period SMA, combined with the price sitting near the lower Bollinger Band at $3.01, suggests oversold conditions may be developing. The daily ATR of $0.15 indicates moderate volatility, providing sufficient range for the predicted moves.
Volume analysis from Binance shows $16.3 million in 24-hour trading, which while substantial, lacks the explosive characteristics typically seen during major breakouts. This moderate volume supports the correction scenario before any significant upward movement.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TON
The bullish Toncoin forecast scenario requires TON to first establish support around current levels, then break above immediate resistance at $3.64. A successful breach of this level would target the upper Bollinger Band at $3.59, followed by strong resistance at $3.75.
For the medium-term TON price target of $6.00-$8.00 to materialize, several technical conditions must align. TON needs to reclaim the 20 and 50-period SMAs decisively, accompanied by RSI moving above 50 and MACD turning positive. The integration of Telegram’s blockchain developments and AI programs, as noted by CryptoPredic, could provide the fundamental catalyst for such moves.
Bearish Risk for Toncoin
The bearish scenario in our TON price prediction centers on a break below immediate support at $3.02. Such a move would likely target the strong support level at $2.94, with further deterioration potentially reaching the analyst consensus target of $2.60.
The most extreme bearish Toncoin forecast points to $2.41, representing the 52-week low proximity. This scenario would require sustained selling pressure and broader cryptocurrency market weakness. The negative MACD histogram and position below key moving averages support this downside risk assessment.
Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our Toncoin technical analysis, the optimal entry strategy involves patience rather than immediate action. Current levels around $3.14 represent a risky entry point given the bearish momentum indicators.
Conservative investors should wait for the predicted decline to the $2.60 support level before considering long positions. This approach aligns with multiple analyst predictions and provides a better risk-reward ratio. Aggressive traders might consider small position sizes at current levels with tight stop-losses below $3.02.
For those asking “buy or sell TON,” the technical picture suggests waiting for clearer directional signals. A break above $3.64 with volume confirmation would shift the near-term outlook bullish, while a drop below $3.02 would confirm the bearish correction scenario.
Position sizing should remain conservative given the conflicting signals. Risk management requires stop-losses below $2.94 for any long positions initiated during the expected correction phase.
TON Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive TON price prediction anticipates a two-phase movement: an initial correction to $2.60 support levels within the next week, followed by a substantial recovery targeting the $6.00-$8.00 range by September 2025. This forecast carries medium confidence based on the convergence of multiple technical indicators and analyst predictions.
Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include MACD crossing above the signal line, RSI breaking above 50, and volume expansion on any upward moves. The prediction timeline suggests the correction phase completing within 1-2 weeks, with the recovery phase extending through Q3 2025.
The critical invalidation level for this Toncoin forecast sits at $2.41. A break below this level would suggest deeper corrective moves and require reassessment of the medium-term bullish targets. Conversely, an immediate break above $3.75 without the predicted correction would accelerate the timeline for reaching higher price targets.
Image source: Shutterstock