Caroline Bishop
Aug 28, 2025 05:04
Toncoin faces near-term downside to $2.48-$2.61 based on bearish momentum indicators, but medium-term recovery potential to $3.50-$4.50 remains intact if $3.09 support holds.
With Toncoin trading at $3.17 amid mixed technical signals, our comprehensive TON price prediction analysis reveals a complex setup suggesting near-term weakness followed by potential medium-term recovery. Multiple analyst forecasts and technical indicators point to an interesting inflection point for TON holders.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• TON short-term target (1 week): $2.48-$2.61 (-22% to -18% from current levels)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $3.50-$4.50 range (+10% to +42% potential)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $3.59 (Bollinger Band upper resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $3.09 (immediate support) and $2.83 (strong support)
Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest Toncoin forecast data reveals a notable consensus among short-term predictions, with WalletInvestor consistently targeting downside over the past week. Their TON price prediction methodology has tracked a steady decline from $2.573 on August 24th to today’s target of $2.481, suggesting continued near-term pressure.
However, this bearish short-term outlook contrasts sharply with AInvest’s more optimistic medium-term projections. Their TON price target of $3.50-$4.50 for late August assumes the critical $3.10 support level holds, while their long-term forecast extends to $6.00-$8.00, approaching TON’s all-time high of $8.24.
CoinCodex’s neutral stance with a $2.61 target by August 27th aligns closely with the WalletInvestor predictions, adding credibility to the near-term bearish scenario. The convergence of these forecasts around the $2.48-$2.61 range provides a clear short-term price target for our TON price prediction.
TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Short-Term Decline
The current Toncoin technical analysis reveals several bearish momentum indicators supporting the downside predictions. With TON’s RSI at 43.04, the token sits in neutral territory but shows no oversold bounce potential yet. More concerning is the MACD histogram reading of -0.0350, indicating strengthening bearish momentum.
TON’s position within the Bollinger Bands tells a compelling story. At 0.1463, Toncoin trades much closer to the lower band ($3.09) than the upper band ($3.59), suggesting continued downside pressure. The fact that TON has broken below its 7-day SMA ($3.24) and 20-day SMA ($3.34) confirms the short-term bearish bias.
Volume analysis from Binance shows $25.9 million in 24-hour trading, which is moderate but lacks the conviction needed for a strong reversal. The daily ATR of $0.16 suggests that moves to the $2.48-$2.61 target range are well within normal volatility expectations.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TON
The bullish scenario for our TON price prediction hinges on the $3.09 support level holding firm. If TON can establish this as a floor and reclaim the $3.24 level (7-day SMA), the path opens toward AInvest’s $3.50-$4.50 medium-term targets.
A break above the Bollinger Band upper resistance at $3.59 would signal a shift in momentum and could trigger the next leg higher toward $3.75 (strong resistance). Success here would validate the more optimistic Toncoin forecast scenarios and potentially set up a test of the $4.50 level.
The bullish case strengthens if Bitcoin maintains its upward trajectory and TON’s development roadmap proceeds on schedule. The growing utility within Telegram’s ecosystem and expanding DeFi applications provide fundamental support for higher price targets.
Bearish Risk for Toncoin
The primary risk scenario aligns with the consensus TON price prediction from multiple analysts targeting $2.48-$2.61. A break below the immediate support at $3.09 would likely trigger selling toward the strong support at $2.83.
If the $2.83 level fails to hold, TON could retest its 52-week low near $2.52, representing a significant -20% decline from current levels. The bearish momentum shown in the MACD histogram supports this downside scenario, especially if broader crypto markets weaken.
Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our comprehensive Toncoin technical analysis, the current $3.17 level presents elevated risk for immediate buyers. The weight of evidence suggests waiting for better entry opportunities in the $2.48-$2.61 range predicted by multiple analysts.
For those asking “buy or sell TON” right now, the tactical approach would be to wait for the predicted decline to play out. Aggressive buyers might consider scaling into positions if TON holds above $3.09, but should maintain tight stop-losses below $2.83.
The optimal entry strategy involves patience to let the short-term weakness unfold, then positioning for the medium-term recovery scenario once TON reaches oversold levels around $2.50. This approach aligns with both the technical indicators and analyst consensus.
TON Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive analysis supports a two-phase TON price prediction: near-term weakness to $2.48-$2.61 followed by medium-term recovery potential to $3.50-$4.50. The convergence of multiple analyst forecasts with bearish technical indicators provides medium confidence in the initial downside target.
Key indicators to monitor include the RSI approaching oversold levels below 30, MACD histogram showing signs of bottoming, and volume confirmation of any reversal attempt. The timeline for this prediction suggests the downside target could be reached within 1-2 weeks, with recovery potential emerging in September.
The critical levels remain $3.09 for immediate support and $3.59 for resistance. A decisive break of either level would require reassessment of the current TON price prediction framework and adjustment of targets accordingly.
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