- XRP ETF clearance is 83% likely in 2025, according to Polymarket.
- The SEC has pushed back decisions on XRP ETFs, with a main ruling set to be made on June 17.
Polymarket’s most recent statistics show that there is an 83% possibility that an XRP ETF will be authorized in 2025. The growth is because investors are more confident, even if the SEC has been slow to make decisions on XRP ETF bids. More optimistic views are coming from high levels of institutional interest and recent improvements in the markets.
Some of the asset managers vying for the green light to launch a spot XRP ETF are Bitwise and CoinShares, among others. Up to this point, the SEC has refrained from making any conclusions about these suggestions. On June 17, 2025, a significant finding regarding Franklin Templeton’s lawsuit is expected. It is usual for the regulatory process to take a long time, with decisions for most filers often made by October.
Within three days of starting XRP futures contracts, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange managed a trading volume of $30 million. Since a regulated futures product has now been launched, many expect to see an eventual ETF for Bitcoin. A recent decision by a court in 2023 pointed out that the SEC’s rejection of spot ETFs and approval of futures-based ETFs is damaging for XRP.
Many investors continue to feel positive, as Polymarket’s current approval odds are 83%, up from the 73% seen earlier in May. Since its inception in April, the Teucrium 2x Long Daily XRP ETF has garnered a significant amount of interest and has increased its assets to a total of $106 million. XRP fell slightly to $2.38 in the market after the latest delay from the SEC.
The Desire From Institutions Drives Crypto Growth.
Big financial firms are adopting XRP which is bringing hope for a wider acceptance of the cryptocurrency. The introduction of XRP futures on the CME shows more institutional investors are confident about XRP. This is in keeping with Ripple’s overall goal of growing its market share and includes adding its RLUSD stablecoin.
It is understood that the SEC’s delay in approving XRP ETFs is simply a standard part of the approval process. The agency has 240 days after recognizing a filing, which means most XRP ETF proposals should see decisions by late October. The new SEC leader, Paul Atkins, who assumed office in April 2025, may result in a more encouraging environment for the industry, according to industry experts.
Despite recent economic difficulties, the stable price of XRP encourages bullish opinions. The token has found support at $2.20, and if ETFs are accepted, technical charts suggest a chance for the price to rise above $3.00. Bitcoin ETFs, which were approved in January 2024, have shown that an XRP ETF could greatly increase the currency’s popularity and price.
At present, seven ETFs for XRP are under review which increases the chance that one of them will get approval by year’s end. Because of institutional support, the expanding futures market and improvements in regulations, XRP is poised for a major breakthrough in 2025.
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