Ethereum price struggles near $2,025 despite high leverage and bullish funding rates. Potential further downside as RSI nears oversold.
Ethereum is sending mixed signals to the market. The asset trades at $2,025.53, according to CoinGecko, with a slim 0.41% gain over the past 24 hours.
The weekly chart, however, paints a much weaker picture.
ETH is down 4.48% over the last week. Analysts are now drawing attention to a growing gap between how traders are positioned and how price is actually behaving. That gap, according to market watchers, is building a setup that leans bearish in the near term.
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Elevated Leverage Without Price Support Raises Red Flags
CryptoQuant analyst PelinayPA highlighted a critical concern this week. The Estimated Leverage Ratio for Ethereum currently sits around 0.74.
That level signals heavy leverage concentration across the market.
Under normal conditions, rising leverage tends to accompany strong upward price movement. That is not what is happening here.
Prices continue drifting lower even as leverage holds at elevated levels.
PelinayPA describes this as a market structure driven more by derivative positioning than by genuine spot demand. That distinction carries weight. It creates a fragile foundation with very little room to absorb a sharp move to the downside.
Trading volume has also dropped noticeably since mid-May, which only weakens the overall structure further.
Ethereum’s Downside Pressure May Continue
“Leverage remains elevated, long positioning is still dominant, yet price continues to struggle, and RSI reflects weakening momentum. Overall, this combination suggests that short-term downside pressure.” – By @PelinayPA pic.twitter.com/Vf7lOGiK5l
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) May 29, 2026
Positive Funding Rates Are Not Translating Into Price Gains
Funding rate data adds another layer to the concern. According to PelinayPA’s analysis on CryptoQuant, the funding rate line has remained mostly positive in recent sessions.
Long positions continue to dominate Ethereum’s derivatives market. Despite that persistent bullish positioning, price is simply not responding.
Traders are actively betting on upside. Yet ETH keeps failing to follow through. PelinayPA points out that this kind of divergence is a meaningful warning sign.
When market participants hold strong upside expectations but the price refuses to move higher, it often signals that buying momentum is quietly running out of steam. The combination of fading volume and unresponsive price action makes this divergence harder to ignore.
RSI Nears Oversold Zone as Momentum Continues to Fade
The Relative Strength Index is adding more weight to the bearish outlook.
PelinayPA notes that RSI currently sits near 31, putting it close to oversold territory. Selling pressure remains the dominant force in the short term. There is no convincing recovery signal from the indicator yet.
RSI continues sloping downward alongside the sideways-to-lower price structure. That combination suggests momentum remains tilted to the bearish side for now.
If Ethereum $ETH prints a weekly close below $1,850, a downside acceleration becomes highly likely.
From a purely technical perspective, the broader channel structure points to two major downside targets following this rejection:
• First Target: Around $1,560 (interim… https://t.co/LNkygeXO5n pic.twitter.com/rOGsvEsahu
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) May 29, 2026
On the technical front, analyst Ali Charts also weighed in with key levels to watch. Ali Charts noted that a weekly close below $1,850 could open the door to faster downside acceleration.
The first major target in that scenario falls around $1,560, which marks an interim structural support zone. A deeper breakdown could push ETH toward $1,070, the lower boundary of its multi-year range.