XRP's recovery has stalled after the token broke below the $1.44–$1.45 support zone that had held since September. The price declined toward $1.32 in early October before rebounding to around $1.39, where it has traded with minimal momentum and small candles indicating limited buying conviction.
The former support level at $1.44–$1.45 has now become immediate resistance, leaving the recovery vulnerable to renewed selling pressure. A retest of the $1.34 area would be expected if sellers regain control, while reclaiming $1.45 with significant volume could allow XRP to move toward $1.50 and potentially $1.56.
Derivatives Market Shows Sharp Pullback
XRP's price weakness coincides with a significant contraction in leveraged trading. Binance Open Interest peaked in 2025 at over $1.5 billion but has since dropped more than 68% to approximately $464 million. This decline suggests substantial speculative exposure has been unwound since late 2025 and remains subdued through 2026.
The reduced open interest may result in less volatility from liquidations and provide a more stable price foundation. However, it also reflects lower conviction among market participants and limited fresh capital entering the market.
Mixed Signals From Accumulation and Momentum
Despite the price stagnation, XRP's accumulation score has reached 100 out of 100, indicating overwhelming accumulation conditions. A 45% accumulation volume bias suggests buying interest is present, though it has not yet produced a decisive breakout.
Technical indicators present conflicting signals. The Average Directional Index reads 13.5, indicating weak directional strength, while falling MACD momentum reinforces the lack of clear direction. Sustained accumulation could support a firmer base, but failure to hold at $1.40 risks renewed selling pressure.
