XRP experienced a significant market movement, surging by 70% over several days following a broader cryptocurrency market revival initiated on Wednesday afternoon. After slumping to $1.00 and briefly dipping below that level for the first time in 21 months, the token climbed to $1.42 and eventually reached a peak of $1.70 by Saturday morning. Following a subsequent rejection, the asset pulled back toward the $1.40 range.
Amidst the multi-month high and strong weekly and monthly gains, artificial intelligence models including ChatGPT, Grok, and Gemini were consulted to analyze whether the broader bear market has concluded. The responses highlighted ongoing technical hurdles and cautioned that the upward movement may be a relief rally rather than a definitive market reversal.
ChatGPT noted that while the short-term picture has changed, the move does not automatically signify the end of the bear cycle. The AI estimated a 55% probability that the $0.98–$0.99 low marked the absolute bottom, leaving a 45% chance that the surge represents a relief rally within a wider bear market, noting that the $1.60–$1.70 zone marks where XRP confronts long-term trends rather than conclusively breaking them.
Grok emphasized the broader context, pointing out that despite the surge and retracement, XRP remains approximately 60% below its July 2025 all-time high and deep in the red year-to-date. However, the analysis acknowledged positive momentum from large market participants, or whales, who purchased millions of tokens over the past week.
Gemini outlined specific technical obstacles remaining in the path of a full recovery. The 33-month EMA, located around $1.60, has served as an unsuccessful challenge for XRP and a major structural resistance level. Conversely, the asset has appeared to reclaim the 200-day EMA near $1.34, which could shift the narrative to bullish if a weekly close above it is achieved. Ultimately, the AI models concurred that until XRP cleanly breaks and holds above these key levels, the recent price action remains classified as a relief rally within a broader consolidation phase.
